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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 68017 — Ceresco, Nebraska

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Raymond 2E, NE (1,283 ft), 9 miles southwest.

Updated

In Ceresco, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 22 in half of years and has passed by May 3 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 16, as early as September 29 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 175 days (NOAA, Raymond 2E, NE).

Last spring frost
April 22

50% probability

First fall frost
October 16

50% probability

Growing season
175 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
November 11

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 25

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

21 of 21 observed

Snow per year
32.7"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Ceresco

Half of springs at Raymond 2E, NE see their last 32°F night by April 22; only one in ten is past it by April 9, and one in ten still has one after May 3. Planting tender crops after April 27 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 30 20%, and after May 3 10%. The 11 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 84% of the 68 Nebraska stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 16 in half of years, as early as September 29 one year in ten, and holds off past October 26 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 8 days later, around October 24; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 25, 8 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 175 days in a typical year, longer than at 79% of the 68 Nebraska stations; it reaches 194 days one year in ten and falls short of 156 one year in ten. On average 146 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 9 days longer, to about May 1, and return around October 6. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 20 and March 15.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 19Apr 24Apr 27Apr 30May 1May 3May 6May 9May 13
32°FApr 9Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 22Apr 24Apr 27Apr 30May 3
28°FMar 31Apr 3Apr 7Apr 9Apr 12Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 25
24°FMar 17Mar 24Mar 29Apr 1Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 14Apr 19
20°FMar 8Mar 14Mar 18Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29Apr 1Apr 4Apr 10
16°FMar 1Mar 5Mar 8Mar 12Mar 15Mar 18Mar 22Mar 28Apr 1
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 23Sep 28Oct 1Oct 3Oct 6Oct 9Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18
32°FSep 29Oct 5Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 18Oct 20Oct 23Oct 26
28°FOct 9Oct 15Oct 19Oct 21Oct 24Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 5
24°FOct 18Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 11Nov 17
20°FOct 28Nov 1Nov 4Nov 8Nov 10Nov 13Nov 17Nov 22Nov 27
16°FNov 3Nov 8Nov 13Nov 16Nov 20Nov 23Nov 27Dec 1Dec 6

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Raymond 2E, NE, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 68017 →Compare Ceresco with another place →

Weather by month in Ceresco

July is the warmest month at Raymond 2E, NE, averaging 86°F by day and 65°F at night; January is the coldest at 33°F and 13°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 19% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,300 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 57% of the 68 Nebraska stations. 34% of them (1,133) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 792. Precipitation totals 31.0 inches a year, most in May (5.2") and least in January (0.8"); May to September bring 65% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Raymond 2E, NE
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan33130.8100%310
Feb37161.0100%271
Mar50271.7100%2136
Apr62382.798%8116
May72505.219%1354
Jun82604.60%0625
Jul86653.60%0792
Aug85623.70%0725
Sep78532.912%0466
Oct65402.399%7168
Nov49271.4100%2116
Dec37171.1100%300

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Raymond 2E, NE (1,283 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Wahoo, NE, 11 miles north of Ceresco, has a last frost 1 day later (April 23), a first frost 1 day earlier (October 15), a season 3 days shorter.

Frost dates for 68066 (Wahoo) →

When it snows in Ceresco, Nebraska

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Ceresco usually arrives around November 11, and the last of the season around March 25. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Raymond 2E, NE, 9.1 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 28 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 68017

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Ceresco, Nebraska
WhenWhat to do
February 11 – February 25Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 25 – March 11Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 25 – April 8Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 22 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 24Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 2Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 16 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 68017 is 9 miles from Raymond 2E, NE, which stands at 1,283 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 68017 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Nebraska →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 5b places in Nebraska