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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 68748 — Madison, Nebraska

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Madison, NE (1,580 ft), under a mile south.

Updated

In Madison, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 30 in half of years and has passed by May 12 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 6, as early as September 23 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 160 days (NOAA, Madison, NE).

Last spring frost
April 30

50% probability

First fall frost
October 6

50% probability

Growing season
160 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
November 15

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 21

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

21 of 21 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Madison

Half of springs at Madison, NE see their last 32°F night by April 30; only one in ten is past it by April 15, and one in ten still has one after May 12. Planting tender crops after May 5 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 7 20%, and after May 12 10%. The 12 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 57% of the 68 Nebraska stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 6 in half of years, as early as September 23 one year in ten, and holds off past October 20 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around October 17; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 3, 9 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 160 days in a typical year, shorter than at 66% of the 68 Nebraska stations; it reaches 180 days one year in ten and falls short of 141 one year in ten. On average 161 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 8 days longer, to about May 8, and return around September 28. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 12 and March 22.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 26Apr 30May 3May 6May 8May 10May 13May 16May 20
32°FApr 15Apr 20Apr 24Apr 28Apr 30May 2May 5May 7May 12
28°FApr 6Apr 9Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 22Apr 25Apr 29May 3
24°FMar 27Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 9Apr 12Apr 15Apr 19Apr 23
20°FMar 16Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 10Apr 16
16°FMar 7Mar 13Mar 16Mar 19Mar 22Mar 26Mar 29Apr 1Apr 6
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 16Sep 20Sep 23Sep 26Sep 28Oct 1Oct 3Oct 6Oct 11
32°FSep 23Sep 28Oct 1Oct 3Oct 6Oct 9Oct 12Oct 15Oct 20
28°FOct 1Oct 7Oct 11Oct 14Oct 17Oct 20Oct 23Oct 25Oct 29
24°FOct 14Oct 19Oct 21Oct 24Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 7
20°FOct 22Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 13Nov 18
16°FOct 29Nov 2Nov 5Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 18Nov 22Nov 27

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Madison, NE, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 68748 →Compare Madison with another place →

Weather by month in Madison

July is the warmest month at Madison, NE, averaging 85°F by day and 62°F at night; January is the coldest at 32°F and 10°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 49% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,012 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 78% of the 68 Nebraska stations. 34% of them (1,029) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 738. Precipitation totals 28.4 inches a year, most in June (4.5") and least in January (0.6"); May to September bring 63% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Madison, NE
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan32100.6100%310
Feb36150.7100%271
Mar49241.5100%2616
Apr61362.9100%1189
May72484.249%1318
Jun82594.50%0606
Jul85623.10%0738
Aug83613.60%0677
Sep77512.529%1418
Oct64372.7100%10132
Nov48251.3100%2417
Dec35140.8100%310

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Madison, NE (1,580 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Norfolk Karl Stefan Airport, NE, 10 miles north of Madison, has the same 50% last-frost date, a first frost 1 day earlier (October 5), a season 3 days shorter.

Frost dates for 68701 (Norfolk) →

When it snows in Madison, Nebraska

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Madison usually arrives around November 15, and the last of the season around March 21. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Madison, NE, 0.5 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 40 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 68748

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Madison, Nebraska
WhenWhat to do
February 19 – March 5Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 5 – March 19Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 2 – April 16Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 30 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 14Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 22Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 6 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 68748 is under a mile from Madison, NE, which stands at 1,580 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 68748 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Nebraska →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 5b places in Nebraska