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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 68818 — Aurora, Nebraska

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Aurora, NE (1,785 ft), 2 miles north.

Updated

In Aurora, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 21 in half of years and has passed by May 4 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 15, as early as October 1 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 176 days (NOAA, Aurora, NE).

Last spring frost
April 21

50% probability

First fall frost
October 15

50% probability

Growing season
176 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
November 20

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 24

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

18 of 18 observed

Snow per year
27.3"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Aurora

Half of springs at Aurora, NE see their last 32°F night by April 21; only one in ten is past it by April 8, and one in ten still has one after May 4. Planting tender crops after April 28 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 30 20%, and after May 4 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 29% of the 68 Nebraska stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 15 in half of years, as early as October 1 one year in ten, and holds off past October 28 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around October 26; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 25, 9 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 176 days in a typical year, longer than at 82% of the 68 Nebraska stations; it reaches 194 days one year in ten and falls short of 156 one year in ten. On average 143 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 10 days longer, to about May 1, and return around October 7. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 21 and March 13.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 18Apr 23Apr 27Apr 29May 1May 3May 5May 9May 14
32°FApr 8Apr 12Apr 16Apr 19Apr 21Apr 25Apr 28Apr 30May 4
28°FMar 27Apr 2Apr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 25
24°FMar 15Mar 21Mar 26Mar 30Apr 1Apr 4Apr 8Apr 12Apr 18
20°FMar 6Mar 11Mar 15Mar 19Mar 23Mar 28Mar 31Apr 3Apr 8
16°FFeb 27Mar 3Mar 6Mar 10Mar 13Mar 17Mar 21Mar 26Mar 31
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 24Sep 29Oct 2Oct 4Oct 7Oct 9Oct 12Oct 14Oct 18
32°FOct 1Oct 5Oct 9Oct 13Oct 15Oct 17Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28
28°FOct 10Oct 16Oct 19Oct 23Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 7
24°FOct 19Oct 25Oct 29Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 19
20°FOct 29Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 15Nov 18Nov 22Nov 27
16°FNov 3Nov 9Nov 13Nov 17Nov 21Nov 25Nov 28Dec 1Dec 8

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Aurora, NE, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 68818 →Compare Aurora with another place →

Weather by month in Aurora

July is the warmest month at Aurora, NE, averaging 87°F by day and 65°F at night; January is the coldest at 36°F and 15°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 19% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,417 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 69% of the 68 Nebraska stations. 35% of them (1,209) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 797. Precipitation totals 30.5 inches a year, most in May (5.1") and least in January (0.7"); May to September bring 63% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Aurora, NE
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan36150.7100%300
Feb40180.8100%252
Mar52281.6100%2234
Apr63383.098%7128
May73515.119%<1375
Jun83614.90%0669
Jul87652.80%0797
Aug85633.80%0733
Sep78532.510%<1471
Oct66402.794%6175
Nov51281.5100%2232
Dec39191.1100%301

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Aurora, NE (1,785 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Grand Island Airport, NE, 18 miles northwest of Aurora, has a last frost 2 days later (April 23), the same first-frost date, a season 2 days shorter.

Frost dates for 68801 (Grand Island) →

When it snows in Aurora, Nebraska

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Aurora usually arrives around November 20, and the last of the season around March 24. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Aurora, NE, 1.6 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 28 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 68818

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Aurora, Nebraska
WhenWhat to do
February 10 – February 24Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 24 – March 10Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 24 – April 7Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 21 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 23Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 1Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 15 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 68818 is 2 miles from Aurora, NE, which stands at 1,785 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 68818 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Nebraska →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 5b places in Nebraska