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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 68873 — Saint Paul, Nebraska

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Saint Paul, NE (1,812 ft), 2 miles southeast.

Updated

In Saint Paul, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 23 in half of years and has passed by May 7 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 14, as early as September 28 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 172 days (NOAA, Saint Paul, NE).

Last spring frost
April 23

50% probability

First fall frost
October 14

50% probability

Growing season
172 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
November 17

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 25

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

27 of 27 observed

Snow per year
22.4"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Saint Paul

Half of springs at Saint Paul, NE see their last 32°F night by April 23; only one in ten is past it by April 10, and one in ten still has one after May 7. Planting tender crops after April 29 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 2 20%, and after May 7 10%. The 14 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 72% of the 68 Nebraska stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 14 in half of years, as early as September 28 one year in ten, and holds off past October 26 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around October 23; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 27, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 172 days in a typical year, longer than at 71% of the 68 Nebraska stations; it reaches 190 days one year in ten and falls short of 151 one year in ten. On average 145 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 10 days longer, to about May 3, and return around October 4. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 20 and March 16.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 21Apr 25Apr 29May 1May 3May 6May 8May 11May 16
32°FApr 10Apr 14Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 26Apr 29May 2May 7
28°FMar 31Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 22Apr 27
24°FMar 19Mar 26Mar 30Apr 1Apr 4Apr 7Apr 9Apr 13Apr 18
20°FMar 8Mar 14Mar 19Mar 23Mar 27Mar 30Apr 2Apr 5Apr 10
16°FFeb 28Mar 4Mar 8Mar 12Mar 16Mar 20Mar 24Mar 29Apr 2
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 22Sep 27Sep 30Oct 2Oct 4Oct 7Oct 9Oct 12Oct 16
32°FSep 28Oct 3Oct 6Oct 10Oct 14Oct 17Oct 19Oct 22Oct 26
28°FOct 7Oct 14Oct 17Oct 20Oct 23Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 5
24°FOct 17Oct 23Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 9Nov 15
20°FOct 26Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 16Nov 20Nov 25
16°FNov 2Nov 7Nov 12Nov 15Nov 20Nov 23Nov 26Nov 29Dec 5

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Saint Paul, NE, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 68873 →Compare Saint Paul with another place →

Weather by month in Saint Paul

July is the warmest month at Saint Paul, NE, averaging 89°F by day and 65°F at night; January is the coldest at 35°F and 14°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 25% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,532 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 87% of the 68 Nebraska stations. 35% of them (1,221) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 834. Precipitation totals 27.5 inches a year, most in May (4.5") and least in January (0.6"); May to September bring 64% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Saint Paul, NE
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan35140.6100%310
Feb41180.7100%262
Mar54281.6100%2237
Apr65382.7100%8141
May74504.525%1376
Jun84604.00%0664
Jul89653.50%0834
Aug87633.50%0769
Sep80542.116%<1507
Oct67402.296%6182
Nov50281.2100%2221
Dec38180.9100%300

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Saint Paul, NE (1,812 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Grand Island Airport, NE, 20 miles southeast of Saint Paul, has the same 50% last-frost date, a first frost 1 day later (October 15), a season 2 days longer.

Frost dates for 68801 (Grand Island) →

When it snows in Saint Paul, Nebraska

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Saint Paul usually arrives around November 17, and the last of the season around March 25. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Saint Paul, NE, 1.7 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 29 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 68873

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Saint Paul, Nebraska
WhenWhat to do
February 12 – February 26Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 26 – March 12Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 26 – April 9Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 23 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 22Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 30Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 14 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 68873 is 2 miles from Saint Paul, NE, which stands at 1,812 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 68873 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Nebraska →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 5b places in Nebraska