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USDA Hardiness Zone 9a

Frost Dates for 70520 — Carencro, Louisiana

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Grand Coteau, LA (55 ft), 6 miles north.

Updated

In Carencro, the last spring frost (32°F) is around February 28 in half of years and has passed by March 25 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 23, as early as November 5 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 267 days (NOAA, Grand Coteau, LA).

Last spring frost
February 28

50% probability

First fall frost
November 23

50% probability

Growing season
267 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9a

20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 20 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Carencro

Half of springs at Grand Coteau, LA see their last 32°F night by February 28; only one in ten is past it by January 31, and one in ten still has one after March 25. Planting tender crops after March 10 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 16 20%, and after March 25 10%. The 25 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 69% of the 88 Louisiana stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 23 in half of years, as early as November 5 one year in ten, and holds off past December 16 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 15 days later, around December 8; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 8, 17 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 267 days in a typical year, shorter than at 51% of the 88 Louisiana stations; it reaches 301 days one year in ten and falls short of 237 one year in ten. On average 18 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 18 days longer, to about March 18, and return around November 13. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 75% of winters and 16°F in 10%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 24Mar 3Mar 8Mar 13Mar 18Mar 23Mar 29Apr 3Apr 7
32°FJan 31Feb 10Feb 18Feb 24Feb 28Mar 4Mar 10Mar 16Mar 25
28°F97% of yrsJan 5Jan 18Jan 26Jan 31Feb 6Feb 14Feb 22Feb 28Mar 8
24°F75% of yrsDec 22Jan 2Jan 11Jan 18Jan 24Jan 30Feb 3Feb 14Feb 26
20°F39% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F10% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 30Nov 3Nov 5Nov 9Nov 13Nov 16Nov 20Nov 24Dec 1
32°FNov 5Nov 11Nov 16Nov 19Nov 23Nov 27Dec 2Dec 7Dec 16
28°F97% of yrsNov 14Nov 22Nov 28Dec 3Dec 8Dec 14Dec 24Jan 1Jan 11
24°F75% of yrsDec 2Dec 10Dec 18Dec 24Dec 30Jan 4Jan 9Jan 17Feb 1
20°F39% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F10% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Grand Coteau, LA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 70520 →Compare Carencro with another place →

Weather by month in Carencro

August is the warmest month at Grand Coteau, LA, averaging 92°F by day and 72°F at night; January is the coldest at 64°F and 41°F. A freezing night is all but certain in January (a 90% chance or more). From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 77% of years and March still brings one in 45% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 6,929 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 73% of the 88 Louisiana stations. 43% of them (2,978) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 997. Precipitation totals 61.6 inches a year, most in June (7.0") and least in March (3.8"); May to September bring 43% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Grand Coteau, LA
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan64416.594%7160
Feb67454.577%3205
Mar74513.845%1385
Apr79575.35%0543
May86655.70%0775
Jun90707.00%0909
Jul92734.40%0995
Aug92724.40%0997
Sep88685.10%0840
Oct81585.03%<1606
Nov71485.066%2317
Dec65434.989%5197

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Grand Coteau, LA (55 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Lafayette, LA, 8 miles south of Carencro, has a last frost 2 days earlier (February 26), a first frost 5 days later (November 28), a season 12 days longer.

Frost dates for 70506 (Lafayette) →

When it snows in Carencro, Louisiana

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Grand Coteau, LA, 6.3 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 70520

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Carencro, Louisiana
WhenWhat to do
December 20 – January 3Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 3 – January 17Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
January 31 – February 14Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
February 28 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 31Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 9Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 23 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 70520 is 6 miles from Grand Coteau, LA, which stands at 55 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 6 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 70570 (Opelousas). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 70520 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Louisiana →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9a places in Louisiana