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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 71852 — Nashville, Arkansas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Nashville, AR (400 ft), 4 miles south.

Updated

In Nashville, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 26 in half of years and has passed by April 12 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 9, as early as October 26 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 227 days (NOAA, Nashville, AR).

Last spring frost
March 26

50% probability

First fall frost
November 9

50% probability

Growing season
227 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
January 27

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
February 6

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
77%

23 of 30 observed

Snow per year
2.6"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Nashville

Half of springs at Nashville, AR see their last 32°F night by March 26; only one in ten is past it by March 4, and one in ten still has one after April 12. Planting tender crops after April 2 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 6 20%, and after April 12 10%. The 17 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 41% of the 105 Arkansas stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 9 in half of years, as early as October 26 one year in ten, and holds off past November 26 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around November 21; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 1, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 227 days in a typical year, longer than at 58% of the 105 Arkansas stations; it reaches 253 days one year in ten and falls short of 204 one year in ten. On average 64 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about April 8, and return around October 30. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 61%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 21Mar 28Apr 1Apr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 15Apr 19Apr 24
32°FMar 4Mar 11Mar 16Mar 21Mar 26Mar 30Apr 2Apr 6Apr 12
28°FFeb 19Feb 26Mar 1Mar 5Mar 10Mar 14Mar 19Mar 25Apr 1
24°FJan 27Feb 3Feb 12Feb 19Feb 24Feb 28Mar 4Mar 9Mar 15
20°F95% of yrsJan 1Jan 14Jan 24Jan 30Feb 2Feb 9Feb 16Feb 26Mar 5
16°F61% of yrsDec 23Jan 1Jan 7Jan 15Jan 21Jan 27Feb 1Feb 6Feb 19
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 17Oct 21Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 8Nov 13
32°FOct 26Oct 31Nov 3Nov 5Nov 9Nov 13Nov 17Nov 20Nov 26
28°FNov 2Nov 7Nov 12Nov 17Nov 21Nov 25Nov 30Dec 3Dec 9
24°FNov 11Nov 18Nov 25Nov 30Dec 3Dec 7Dec 13Dec 21Jan 1
20°F95% of yrsNov 25Dec 3Dec 8Dec 15Dec 22Dec 28Jan 2Jan 10Jan 21
16°F61% of yrsDec 6Dec 14Dec 23Dec 31Jan 3Jan 8Jan 13Jan 21Feb 2

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Nashville, AR, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 71852 →Compare Nashville with another place →

Weather by month in Nashville

July is the warmest month at Nashville, AR, averaging 93°F by day and 71°F at night; January is the coldest at 54°F and 32°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to February (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, March still brings one in 89% of years and April still brings one in 35% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 5,614 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 88% of the 105 Arkansas stations. 39% of them (2,173) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 1,004. Precipitation totals 54.9 inches a year, most in May (6.2") and least in August (3.2"); May to September bring 39% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Nashville, AR
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan54324.0100%1939
Feb59354.2100%1367
Mar67425.189%6193
Apr75505.735%1371
May82606.20%0643
Jun89684.20%0859
Jul93714.10%01004
Aug94703.20%0995
Sep88643.70%0771
Oct77515.021%1449
Nov65414.492%8162
Dec56345.1100%1660

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Nashville, AR (400 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Murfreesboro 1W, AR, 11 miles northeast of Nashville, has a last frost 10 days later (April 5), a first frost 8 days earlier (November 1), a season 18 days shorter.

Frost dates for 71958 (Murfreesboro) →

When it snows in Nashville, Arkansas

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Nashville usually arrives around January 27, and the last of the season around February 6. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Nashville, AR, 3.9 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 77% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 48 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 71852

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Nashville, Arkansas
WhenWhat to do
January 15 – January 29Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 29 – February 12Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 26 – March 12Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 26 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 17Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 26Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 9 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 71852 is 4 miles from Nashville, AR, which stands at 400 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 71852 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Arkansas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 8a places in Arkansas