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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 71901 — Hot Springs, Arkansas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Hot Springs 1 NNE, AR (626 ft), 2 miles west.

Updated

In Hot Springs, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 19 in half of years and has passed by April 7 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 13, as early as October 28 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 239 days (NOAA, Hot Springs 1 NNE, AR).

Last spring frost
March 19

50% probability

First fall frost
November 13

50% probability

Growing season
239 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
37%

10 of 27 observed

Snow per year
1.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Hot Springs

Half of springs at Hot Springs 1 NNE, AR see their last 32°F night by March 19; only one in ten is past it by March 1, and one in ten still has one after April 7. Planting tender crops after March 28 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 2 20%, and after April 7 10%. The 19 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 80% of the 105 Arkansas stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 13 in half of years, as early as October 28 one year in ten, and holds off past December 3 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around November 27; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 26, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 239 days in a typical year, longer than at 85% of the 105 Arkansas stations; it reaches 265 days one year in ten and falls short of 213 one year in ten. On average 59 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 14 days longer, to about April 2, and return around November 3. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 70%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 14Mar 22Mar 26Mar 31Apr 2Apr 6Apr 9Apr 12Apr 19
32°FMar 1Mar 6Mar 11Mar 15Mar 19Mar 23Mar 28Apr 2Apr 7
28°FFeb 13Feb 21Feb 27Mar 2Mar 6Mar 9Mar 13Mar 18Mar 26
24°FJan 26Feb 3Feb 10Feb 16Feb 21Feb 26Mar 2Mar 5Mar 11
20°F94% of yrsJan 6Jan 18Jan 25Jan 31Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3
16°F70% of yrsDec 30Jan 7Jan 14Jan 20Jan 26Jan 31Feb 4Feb 10Feb 19
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 19Oct 24Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 5Nov 9Nov 13Nov 19
32°FOct 28Nov 2Nov 6Nov 10Nov 13Nov 17Nov 22Nov 27Dec 3
28°FNov 7Nov 13Nov 18Nov 22Nov 27Nov 30Dec 4Dec 9Dec 18
24°FNov 17Nov 26Dec 1Dec 6Dec 12Dec 18Dec 23Dec 30Jan 7
20°F94% of yrsDec 2Dec 12Dec 21Dec 26Dec 31Jan 4Jan 9Jan 16Jan 29
16°F70% of yrsDec 14Dec 24Dec 31Jan 3Jan 8Jan 12Jan 17Jan 25Feb 4

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Hot Springs 1 NNE, AR, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 71901 →Compare Hot Springs with another place →

Weather by month in Hot Springs

July is the warmest month at Hot Springs 1 NNE, AR, averaging 93°F by day and 72°F at night; January is the coldest at 52°F and 32°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to February (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, March still brings one in 87% of years and April still brings one in 23% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 5,504 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 78% of the 105 Arkansas stations. 39% of them (2,133) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 1,011. Precipitation totals 57.9 inches a year, most in May (6.5") and least in August (3.6"); May to September bring 40% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Hot Springs 1 NNE, AR
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan52323.8100%1832
Feb56354.6100%1359
Mar65425.587%6185
Apr74515.923%1374
May80606.50%0633
Jun88684.30%0850
Jul93724.50%01011
Aug93713.60%0992
Sep86644.20%0751
Oct75525.115%<1426
Nov63424.983%6146
Dec53355.0100%1545

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Hot Springs 1 NNE, AR (626 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Blakely Mountain Dam, AR, 11 miles northwest of Hot Springs and 200 feet lower, has a last frost 15 days later (April 3), a first frost 9 days earlier (November 4), a season 23 days shorter.

Frost dates for 71964 (Pearcy) →

When it snows in Hot Springs, Arkansas

Measurable snow is rare here: only 10 of 27 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Hot Springs 1 NNE, AR, 1.7 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 71901

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Hot Springs, Arkansas
WhenWhat to do
January 8 – January 22Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 22 – February 5Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 19 – March 5Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 19 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 21Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 30Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 13 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 71901 is 2 miles from Hot Springs 1 NNE, AR, which stands at 626 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 71913 (Hot Springs). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 71901 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Arkansas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8a places in Arkansas