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USDA Hardiness Zone 8b

Frost Dates for 75839 — Elkhart, Texas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Palestine 2 NE, TX (465 ft), 12 miles north.

Updated

In Elkhart, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 23 in half of years and has passed by April 9 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 9, as early as October 28 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 234 days (NOAA, Palestine 2 NE, TX).

Last spring frost
March 23

50% probability

First fall frost
November 9

50% probability

Growing season
234 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8b

15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
5%

1 of 19 observed

Snow per year
0.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Elkhart

Half of springs at Palestine 2 NE, TX see their last 32°F night by March 23; only one in ten is past it by March 2, and one in ten still has one after April 9. Planting tender crops after March 31 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 4 20%, and after April 9 10%. The 17 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 86% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 9 in half of years, as early as October 28 one year in ten, and holds off past November 29 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around November 20; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 29, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 234 days in a typical year, shorter than at 71% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 260 days one year in ten and falls short of 209 one year in ten. On average 38 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about April 4, and return around November 1. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 99% of winters and 16°F in 51%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 16Mar 23Mar 28Mar 31Apr 4Apr 6Apr 10Apr 15Apr 20
32°FMar 2Mar 9Mar 14Mar 18Mar 23Mar 27Mar 31Apr 4Apr 9
28°FFeb 12Feb 24Feb 28Mar 4Mar 9Mar 13Mar 17Mar 22Mar 29
24°F99% of yrsJan 17Jan 29Feb 4Feb 15Feb 23Mar 1Mar 4Mar 10Mar 16
20°F86% of yrsDec 23Jan 2Jan 14Jan 23Jan 31Feb 6Feb 16Feb 28Mar 7
16°F51% of yrsDec 19Dec 30Jan 6Jan 10Jan 17Jan 24Jan 31Feb 8Feb 25
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 20Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 11Nov 15
32°FOct 28Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 9Nov 13Nov 17Nov 22Nov 29
28°FNov 3Nov 7Nov 12Nov 16Nov 20Nov 25Nov 30Dec 4Dec 11
24°F99% of yrsNov 10Nov 18Nov 25Nov 30Dec 4Dec 9Dec 17Dec 28Jan 7
20°F86% of yrsNov 20Dec 1Dec 7Dec 15Dec 26Jan 1Jan 6Jan 15Feb 1
16°F51% of yrsDec 4Dec 11Dec 24Jan 1Jan 4Jan 8Jan 13Jan 21Feb 5

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Palestine 2 NE, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 75839 →Compare Elkhart with another place →

Weather by month in Elkhart

July is the warmest month at Palestine 2 NE, TX, averaging 94°F by day and 72°F at night; January is the coldest at 59°F and 35°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to February (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, March still brings one in 88% of years and April still brings one in 28% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 6,242 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 56% of the 351 Texas stations. 40% of them (2,525) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 1,026. Precipitation totals 46.9 inches a year, most in June (4.5") and least in July (2.6"); May to September bring 39% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Palestine 2 NE, TX
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan59354.1100%1384
Feb63393.997%8125
Mar70454.188%3274
Apr77534.128%<1445
May84624.30%0708
Jun90694.50%0888
Jul94722.60%01026
Aug95713.70%01023
Sep89653.30%0807
Oct80544.218%<1532
Nov68443.990%5229
Dec60374.2100%10102

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Palestine 2 NE, TX (465 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Palestine 6 WNW, TX, 15 miles northwest of Elkhart, has a last frost 11 days earlier (March 12), a first frost 10 days later (November 19), a season 19 days longer.

Frost dates for 75855 (Oakwood) →

When it snows in Elkhart, Texas

Measurable snow is rare here: only 1 of 19 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Palestine 2 NE, TX, 11.5 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 75839

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Elkhart, Texas
WhenWhat to do
January 12 – January 26Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 26 – February 9Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 23 – March 9Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 23 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 17Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 26Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 9 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 75839 is 12 miles from Palestine 2 NE, TX, which stands at 465 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 4 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 75803 (Palestine). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 75839 in zone 8b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Texas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8b places in Texas