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USDA Hardiness Zone 8b

Frost Dates for 76708 — Waco, Texas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Waco Dam, TX (495 ft), 2 miles northwest.

Updated

In Waco, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 9 in half of years and has passed by April 4 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 20, as early as November 2 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 256 days (NOAA, Waco Dam, TX).

Last spring frost
March 9

50% probability

First fall frost
November 20

50% probability

Growing season
256 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8b

15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
5%

1 of 20 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Waco

Half of springs at Waco Dam, TX see their last 32°F night by March 9; only one in ten is past it by February 17, and one in ten still has one after April 4. Planting tender crops after March 19 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 27 20%, and after April 4 10%. The 26 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 84% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 20 in half of years, as early as November 2 one year in ten, and holds off past December 9 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around December 3; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 21, 14 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 256 days in a typical year, longer than at 60% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 284 days one year in ten and falls short of 224 one year in ten. On average 38 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 15 days longer, to about March 24, and return around November 10. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 95% of winters and 16°F in 30%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 2Mar 8Mar 14Mar 18Mar 24Mar 29Apr 1Apr 6Apr 13
32°FFeb 17Feb 25Mar 2Mar 6Mar 9Mar 14Mar 19Mar 27Apr 4
28°FJan 27Feb 3Feb 13Feb 20Feb 25Mar 2Mar 6Mar 11Mar 21
24°F95% of yrsJan 4Jan 18Jan 25Jan 30Feb 4Feb 11Feb 19Feb 28Mar 6
20°F69% of yrsDec 20Jan 2Jan 9Jan 17Jan 23Jan 28Feb 3Feb 10Feb 20
16°F30% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 26Oct 31Nov 3Nov 6Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 21Nov 27
32°FNov 2Nov 8Nov 13Nov 17Nov 20Nov 25Nov 29Dec 3Dec 9
28°FNov 12Nov 20Nov 25Nov 30Dec 3Dec 8Dec 14Dec 23Jan 1
24°F95% of yrsNov 26Dec 2Dec 8Dec 14Dec 21Dec 28Jan 3Jan 10Jan 23
20°F69% of yrsDec 7Dec 16Dec 23Dec 31Jan 3Jan 9Jan 15Jan 22Feb 2
16°F30% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Waco Dam, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 76708 →Compare Waco with another place →

Weather by month in Waco

August is the warmest month at Waco Dam, TX, averaging 95°F by day and 75°F at night; January is the coldest at 59°F and 36°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to February (a 90% chance or more). From May to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, March still brings one in 68% of years and April still brings one in 14% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 6,532 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 57% of the 351 Texas stations. 40% of them (2,594) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 1,088. Precipitation totals 37.6 inches a year, most in May (4.4") and least in July (1.9"); May to September bring 41% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Waco Dam, TX
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan59362.799%1370
Feb62402.791%8119
Mar68483.568%3282
Apr76543.214%<1460
May83644.40%0730
Jun91723.60%0934
Jul95751.90%01077
Aug95752.40%01088
Sep89683.20%0852
Oct80574.38%<1568
Nov68462.971%3255
Dec60392.899%1098

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Waco Dam, TX (495 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Waco Regional Airport, TX, 3 miles northwest of Waco, has a last frost 6 days later (March 15), a first frost 5 days earlier (November 15), a season 11 days shorter.

Frost dates for 76691 (West) →

When it snows in Waco, Texas

Measurable snow is rare here: only 1 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Waco Dam, TX, 2.2 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 76708

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Waco, Texas
WhenWhat to do
December 29 – January 12Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 12 – January 26Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 9 – February 23Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 9 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 28Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 6Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 20 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 76708 is 2 miles from Waco Dam, TX, which stands at 495 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 10 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 76706 (Robinson). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 76708 in zone 8b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Texas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8b places in Texas