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USDA Hardiness Zone 9a

Frost Dates for 85746 — Tucson, Arizona

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Tucson International Airport, AZ (2,549 ft), 5 miles east.

Updated

In Tucson, the last spring frost (32°F) is around February 5 in half of years and has passed by March 2 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around December 9, as early as November 21 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 307 days (NOAA, Tucson International Airport, AZ).

Last spring frost
February 5

50% probability

First fall frost
December 9

50% probability

Growing season
307 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9a

20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
13%

4 of 30 observed

Snow per year
0.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Tucson

Half of springs at Tucson International Airport, AZ see their last 32°F night by February 5; only one in ten is past it by January 4, and one in ten still has one after March 2. Planting tender crops after February 17 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after February 23 20%, and after March 2 10%. The 25 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 63% of the 98 Arizona stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by December 9 in half of years, as early as November 21 one year in ten, and holds off past January 3 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 17 days later, around December 26; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is February 17, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 307 days in a typical year, longer than at 76% of the 98 Arizona stations; it reaches 344 days one year in ten and falls short of 274 one year in ten. On average 12 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 23 days longer, to about February 28, and return around November 26. A 24°F night is unusual: 19% of winters had one.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 3Feb 13Feb 19Feb 25Feb 28Mar 3Mar 7Mar 12Mar 24
32°F99% of yrsJan 4Jan 14Jan 23Jan 31Feb 5Feb 11Feb 17Feb 23Mar 2
28°F70% of yrsDec 14Dec 24Jan 1Jan 5Jan 11Jan 19Jan 31Feb 6Feb 17
24°F19% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F3% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FNov 11Nov 17Nov 20Nov 23Nov 26Nov 30Dec 3Dec 8Dec 14
32°F99% of yrsNov 21Nov 26Nov 30Dec 5Dec 9Dec 13Dec 17Dec 24Jan 3
28°F70% of yrsNov 30Dec 9Dec 14Dec 20Dec 26Jan 1Jan 6Jan 18Feb 1
24°F19% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F3% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Tucson International Airport, AZ, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 85746 →Compare Tucson with another place →

Weather by month in Tucson

July is the warmest month at Tucson International Airport, AZ, averaging 100°F by day and 76°F at night; December is the coldest at 66°F and 41°F. From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 51% of years and March still brings one in 11% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 7,673 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 71% of the 102 Arizona stations. 41% of them (3,171) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 1,186. Precipitation totals 10.6 inches a year, most in July (2.2") and least in April (0.2"); May to September bring 56% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tucson International Airport, AZ
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan67410.880%4147
Feb69430.851%2192
Mar76480.611%<1373
Apr83530.20%0544
May92620.20%0831
Jun101710.20%01084
Jul100762.20%01186
Aug99752.00%01144
Sep95701.30%0982
Oct86590.70%<1702
Nov75480.630%1352
Dec66411.082%5136

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tucson International Airport, AZ (2,549 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Tucson WFO, AZ, 9 miles northeast of Tucson, has a last frost 16 days earlier (January 20), a first frost 8 days later (December 17), a season 25 days longer.

Frost dates for 85719 (Tucson) →

When it snows in Tucson, Arizona

Measurable snow is rare here: only 4 of 30 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Tucson International Airport, AZ, 5.3 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 85746

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Tucson, Arizona
WhenWhat to do
November 27 – December 11Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
December 11 – December 25Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
January 8 – January 22Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
February 5 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by September 16Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 25Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
December 9 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 85746 is 5 miles from Tucson International Airport, AZ, which stands at 2,549 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 5 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 85706 (Tucson). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 85746 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Arizona →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9a places in Arizona