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USDA Hardiness Zone 7b

Frost Dates for 86040 — Page, Arizona

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Page, AZ (4,270 ft), 14 miles north.

Updated

In Page, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 27 in half of years and has passed by April 16 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 9, as early as October 26 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 226 days (NOAA, Page, AZ).

Last spring frost
March 27

50% probability

First fall frost
November 9

50% probability

Growing season
226 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7b

5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
25%

4 of 16 observed

Snow per year
0.3"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Page

Half of springs at Page, AZ see their last 32°F night by March 27; only one in ten is past it by March 8, and one in ten still has one after April 16. Planting tender crops after April 4 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 9 20%, and after April 16 10%. The 20 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 52% of the 98 Arizona stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 9 in half of years, as early as October 26 one year in ten, and holds off past November 20 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 10 days later, around November 19; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 26, 21 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 226 days in a typical year, shorter than at 52% of the 98 Arizona stations; it reaches 250 days one year in ten and falls short of 202 one year in ten. On average 83 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 17 days longer, to about April 13, and return around October 30. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 78%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 29Apr 3Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 17Apr 20Apr 25Apr 30
32°FMar 8Mar 12Mar 17Mar 21Mar 27Mar 31Apr 4Apr 9Apr 16
28°FFeb 16Feb 23Feb 26Mar 1Mar 4Mar 8Mar 11Mar 16Mar 26
24°FJan 28Feb 4Feb 8Feb 12Feb 16Feb 21Feb 25Mar 1Mar 6
20°F98% of yrsJan 2Jan 13Jan 21Jan 27Feb 2Feb 5Feb 10Feb 16Feb 23
16°F78% of yrsDec 19Dec 28Jan 4Jan 9Jan 17Jan 24Jan 31Feb 5Feb 13
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 16Oct 21Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 11
32°FOct 26Oct 31Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 11Nov 14Nov 17Nov 20
28°FNov 5Nov 10Nov 14Nov 17Nov 19Nov 21Nov 24Nov 26Dec 1
24°FNov 14Nov 20Nov 22Nov 25Nov 28Dec 2Dec 6Dec 10Dec 15
20°F98% of yrsNov 26Dec 1Dec 5Dec 8Dec 12Dec 16Dec 20Dec 26Jan 3
16°F78% of yrsDec 6Dec 11Dec 17Dec 22Dec 27Jan 1Jan 6Jan 15Jan 29

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Page, AZ, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 86040 →Compare Page with another place →

Weather by month in Page

July is the warmest month at Page, AZ, averaging 97°F by day and 70°F at night; December is the coldest at 44°F and 27°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 38% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,647 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 67% of the 102 Arizona stations. 36% of them (1,691) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 1,026. Precipitation totals 6.8 inches a year, most in August (0.9") and least in June (0.1"); May to September bring 43% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Page, AZ
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan45260.7100%260
Feb51300.5100%164
Mar62380.596%579
Apr71440.438%1242
May81540.40%0532
Jun92630.10%0834
Jul97700.60%01026
Aug94680.90%0947
Sep85590.90%0665
Oct71470.922%<1288
Nov55350.5100%929
Dec44270.4100%250

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Page, AZ (4,270 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Paria Rs, UT, 37 miles northwest of Page and 156 feet higher, has a last frost 23 days later (April 19), a first frost 17 days earlier (October 23), a season 40 days shorter.

Frost dates for 84741 (Kanab) →

When it snows in Page, Arizona

Measurable snow is rare here: only 4 of 16 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Lees Ferry, AZ, 13.5 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 86040

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Page, Arizona
WhenWhat to do
January 16 – January 30Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 30 – February 13Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 27 – March 13Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 27 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 17Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 26Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 9 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 86040 is 14 miles from Page, AZ, which stands at 4,270 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 86040 in zone 7b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Arizona →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 7b places in Arizona