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USDA Hardiness Zone 7b

Frost Dates for 99901 — Ketchikan, Alaska

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Beaver Falls, AK (35 ft), 1 miles southwest.

Updated

In Ketchikan, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 4 in half of years and has passed by April 25 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 9, as early as October 19 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 218 days (NOAA, Beaver Falls, AK).

Last spring frost
April 4

50% probability

First fall frost
November 9

50% probability

Growing season
218 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7b

5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) coldest night

First snow
November 17

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 4

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

27 of 27 observed

Snow per year
34.8"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Ketchikan

Half of springs at Beaver Falls, AK see their last 32°F night by April 4; only one in ten is past it by March 15, and one in ten still has one after April 25. Planting tender crops after April 13 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 19 20%, and after April 25 10%. The 21 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 95% of the 37 Alaska stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 9 in half of years, as early as October 19 one year in ten, and holds off past December 2 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 17 days later, around November 26; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 5, 20 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 218 days in a typical year, the longest of the 37 Alaska stations; it reaches 248 days one year in ten and falls short of 191 one year in ten. On average 67 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 23 days longer, to about April 27, and return around October 22. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 98% of winters and 16°F in 48%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 8Apr 15Apr 19Apr 24Apr 27Apr 29May 2May 6May 14
32°FMar 15Mar 23Mar 28Mar 31Apr 4Apr 9Apr 13Apr 19Apr 25
28°FFeb 15Feb 27Mar 3Mar 8Mar 13Mar 17Mar 22Mar 28Apr 5
24°F98% of yrsJan 6Jan 17Jan 29Feb 9Feb 20Feb 26Mar 3Mar 9Mar 17
20°F80% of yrsDec 17Jan 3Jan 10Jan 21Jan 29Feb 8Feb 21Mar 2Mar 11
16°F48% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 5Oct 12Oct 16Oct 20Oct 22Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 8
32°FOct 19Oct 26Nov 1Nov 5Nov 9Nov 14Nov 19Nov 24Dec 2
28°FNov 4Nov 12Nov 17Nov 22Nov 26Nov 30Dec 5Dec 11Dec 22
24°F98% of yrsNov 13Nov 22Nov 30Dec 4Dec 9Dec 18Dec 26Jan 2Jan 16
20°F80% of yrsNov 26Dec 4Dec 11Dec 22Dec 29Jan 3Jan 11Jan 23Feb 8
16°F48% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Beaver Falls, AK, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 99901 →Compare Ketchikan with another place →

Weather by month in Ketchikan

August is the warmest month at Beaver Falls, AK, averaging 67°F by day and 54°F at night; January is the coldest at 39°F and 32°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 56% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 1,165 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), the most of the 37 Alaska stations. 29% of them (333) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 327. Precipitation totals 157.3 inches a year, most in November (19.5") and least in June (5.9"); May to September bring 31% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Beaver Falls, AK
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan393217.6100%140
Feb413311.198%140
Mar453512.697%111
Apr52399.556%412
May59457.24%<1106
Jun64505.90%1215
Jul66546.50%0318
Aug675411.20%0327
Sep605017.70%<1162
Oct524319.130%225
Nov433719.584%70
Dec403319.4100%140

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Beaver Falls, AK (35 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

When it snows in Ketchikan, Alaska

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Ketchikan usually arrives around November 17, and the last of the season around April 4. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Annette Island Airport, AK, 23.1 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes on the day of the last snow.

Planting calendar for 99901

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Ketchikan, Alaska
WhenWhat to do
January 24 – February 7Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 7 – February 21Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 7 – March 21Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 4 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 17Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 26Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 9 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 99901 is 1 mile from Beaver Falls, AK, which stands at 35 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 99901 in zone 7b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Alaska →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 7b places in Alaska