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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 16749 — Smethport, Pennsylvania

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Clermont 1 NW, PA (2,080 ft), 8 miles south.

Updated

In Smethport, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 15 in half of years and has passed by May 31 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 3, as early as September 21 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 140 days (NOAA, Clermont 1 NW, PA).

Last spring frost
May 15

50% probability

First fall frost
October 3

50% probability

Growing season
140 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
November 2

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 14

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

19 of 19 observed

Snow per year
79.5"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Smethport

Half of springs at Clermont 1 NW, PA see their last 32°F night by May 15; only one in ten is past it by April 30, and one in ten still has one after May 31. Planting tender crops after May 22 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 26 20%, and after May 31 10%. The 16 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 51% of the 176 Pennsylvania stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 3 in half of years, as early as September 21 one year in ten, and holds off past October 18 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around October 16; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 20, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 140 days in a typical year, shorter than at 94% of the 176 Pennsylvania stations; it reaches 162 days one year in ten and falls short of 121 one year in ten. On average 166 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 14 days longer, to about May 29, and return around September 23. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 23 and March 31.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 13May 19May 22May 25May 29May 31Jun 2Jun 6Jun 11
32°FApr 30May 4May 8May 11May 15May 19May 22May 26May 31
28°FApr 19Apr 23Apr 27Apr 30May 4May 6May 10May 15May 20
24°FApr 7Apr 11Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 24Apr 28May 1May 7
20°FMar 26Mar 31Apr 3Apr 5Apr 7Apr 11Apr 15Apr 18Apr 23
16°FMar 15Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28Mar 31Apr 1Apr 4Apr 7Apr 13
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 6Sep 14Sep 17Sep 21Sep 23Sep 25Sep 29Oct 1Oct 4
32°FSep 21Sep 25Sep 29Oct 1Oct 3Oct 6Oct 9Oct 12Oct 18
28°FOct 1Oct 5Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 20Oct 23Oct 27Nov 1
24°FOct 13Oct 19Oct 23Oct 27Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 9Nov 15
20°FOct 28Nov 1Nov 5Nov 8Nov 12Nov 15Nov 18Nov 23Nov 29
16°FNov 6Nov 12Nov 16Nov 20Nov 23Nov 27Dec 1Dec 4Dec 10

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Clermont 1 NW, PA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 16749 →Compare Smethport with another place →

Frost risk through the year in Smethport

Frost curve for Smethport, Pennsylvania (Clermont 1 NW, PA, NOAA 1991–2020): the chance of another 32°F night falls from 90% on April 30 to 50% on May 15 and 10% on May 31; the chance that the first fall one has come rises from 10% on September 21 to 50% on October 3 and 90% on October 18.

In Smethport, the spring curve drops under 10% on May 31 and the fall curve passes 10% on September 21, 113 days later; that gap is shorter than at 94% of the 176 Pennsylvania stations with frost dates. The spring risk falls from 90% to 10% over 31 days (April 30 to May 31) and the fall risk climbs from 10% to 90% over 27 days (September 21 to October 18): both ends of the season vary about as much. At Port Allegany, PA, 8 miles east, the same gap runs from May 29 to September 25, 6 days longer.

Chance of a frost after each planting date in Smethport
Planted onAnother 32°F night28°F night
May 188%58%
May 870%35%
May 1550% date50%20%
May 2230%under 10%
May 2914%under 10%
Jun 5under 10%under 10%

Weather by month in Smethport

July is the warmest month at Clermont 1 NW, PA, averaging 76°F by day and 55°F at night; January is the coldest at 29°F and 13°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 85% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 1,804 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), the fewest of the 176 Pennsylvania stations. 33% of them (597) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 480. Precipitation totals 50.8 inches a year, most in July (4.8") and least in February (3.0"); May to September bring 46% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Clermont 1 NW, PA
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan29133.7100%291
Feb32143.0100%271
Mar41213.7100%268
Apr55314.4100%1846
May66424.785%5182
Jun73514.77%<1360
Jul76554.80%0480
Aug74534.80%0429
Sep67474.437%1224
Oct57374.498%1065
Nov44284.1100%228
Dec34204.1100%281

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Clermont 1 NW, PA (2,080 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Port Allegany, PA, 8 miles east of Smethport and 605 feet lower, has the same 50% last-frost date, a first frost 3 days later (October 6), a season 4 days longer.

Frost dates for 16743 (Port Allegany) →

When it snows in Smethport, Pennsylvania

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Smethport usually arrives around November 2, and the last of the season around April 14. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Clermont 1 NW, PA, 7.5 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 31 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 16749

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Smethport, Pennsylvania
WhenWhat to do
March 6 – March 20Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 20 – April 3Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 17 – May 1Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 15 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 11Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 19Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 3 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 16749 is 8 miles from Clermont 1 NW, PA, which stands at 2,080 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 16749 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Pennsylvania →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 5b places in Pennsylvania