Skip to content

USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 27278 — Hillsborough, North Carolina

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Durham 11 W, NC (562 ft), 8 miles south.

Updated

In Hillsborough, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 31 in half of years and has passed by April 19 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 4, as early as October 22 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 217 days (NOAA, Durham 11 W, NC).

Last spring frost
March 31

50% probability

First fall frost
November 4

50% probability

Growing season
217 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
25%

5 of 20 observed

Snow per year
1.7"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Hillsborough

Half of springs at Durham 11 W, NC see their last 32°F night by March 31; only one in ten is past it by March 14, and one in ten still has one after April 19. Planting tender crops after April 6 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 11 20%, and after April 19 10%. The 19 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 90% of the 173 North Carolina stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 4 in half of years, as early as October 22 one year in ten, and holds off past November 18 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around November 15; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 5, 14 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 217 days in a typical year, shorter than at 50% of the 173 North Carolina stations; it reaches 240 days one year in ten and falls short of 194 one year in ten. On average 71 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 15 days longer, to about April 15, and return around October 26. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 83%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 30Apr 3Apr 7Apr 11Apr 15Apr 18Apr 22Apr 28May 6
32°FMar 14Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28Mar 31Apr 3Apr 6Apr 11Apr 19
28°FFeb 28Mar 6Mar 11Mar 15Mar 19Mar 23Mar 27Mar 31Apr 5
24°FFeb 9Feb 20Feb 26Mar 1Mar 6Mar 10Mar 14Mar 18Mar 24
20°F99% of yrsJan 20Jan 31Feb 6Feb 12Feb 20Feb 26Mar 1Mar 6Mar 14
16°F83% of yrsJan 5Jan 14Jan 20Jan 27Jan 31Feb 4Feb 12Feb 23Mar 3
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 14Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 26Oct 28Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5
32°FOct 22Oct 27Oct 31Nov 2Nov 4Nov 6Nov 9Nov 13Nov 18
28°FNov 3Nov 6Nov 10Nov 12Nov 15Nov 19Nov 23Nov 29Dec 4
24°FNov 12Nov 18Nov 23Nov 27Dec 1Dec 4Dec 9Dec 17Dec 28
20°F99% of yrsNov 25Dec 2Dec 8Dec 13Dec 21Dec 29Jan 3Jan 10Jan 19
16°F83% of yrsDec 9Dec 20Dec 30Jan 2Jan 8Jan 13Jan 17Jan 24Feb 2

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Durham 11 W, NC, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 27278 →Compare Hillsborough with another place →

Weather by month in Hillsborough

July is the warmest month at Durham 11 W, NC, averaging 88°F by day and 67°F at night; January is the coldest at 50°F and 30°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 45% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,441 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 61% of the 173 North Carolina stations. 38% of them (1,704) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 859. Precipitation totals 46.7 inches a year, most in September (5.6") and least in February (3.3"); May to September bring 46% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Durham 11 W, NC
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan50303.4100%2027
Feb54323.3100%1546
Mar62394.296%9123
Apr71474.045%2289
May77563.83%<1507
Jun84634.20%0711
Jul88674.20%0859
Aug86663.80%0815
Sep80605.60%0610
Oct71483.334%1316
Nov61383.398%995
Dec53333.698%1643

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Durham 11 W, NC (562 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Durham, NC, 8 miles east of Hillsborough and 162 feet lower, has a last frost 2 days later (April 2), the same first-frost date.

Frost dates for 27707 (Durham) →

When it snows in Hillsborough, North Carolina

Measurable snow is rare here: only 5 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Butner Fltr Plt, NC, 18.4 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 27278

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Hillsborough, North Carolina
WhenWhat to do
January 20 – February 3Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 3 – February 17Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 3 – March 17Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 31 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 12Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 21Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 4 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 27278 is 8 miles from Durham 11 W, NC, which stands at 562 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 27278 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Carolina →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8a places in North Carolina