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USDA Hardiness Zone 7b

Frost Dates for 27315 — Providence, North Carolina

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Danville 2 SE, VA (392 ft), 4 miles north.

Updated

In Providence, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 8 in half of years and has passed by April 30 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 1, as early as October 19 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 205 days (NOAA, Danville 2 SE, VA).

Last spring frost
April 8

50% probability

First fall frost
November 1

50% probability

Growing season
205 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7b

5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) coldest night

First snow
January 18

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
February 20

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
90%

27 of 30 observed

Snow per year
7.6"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Providence

Half of springs at Danville 2 SE, VA see their last 32°F night by April 8; only one in ten is past it by March 22, and one in ten still has one after April 30. Planting tender crops after April 15 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 19 20%, and after April 30 10%. The 22 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is the widest of the 173 North Carolina stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 1 in half of years, as early as October 19 one year in ten, and holds off past November 13 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around November 10; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 10, 20 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 205 days in a typical year, shorter than at 66% of the 173 North Carolina stations; it reaches 226 days one year in ten and falls short of 183 one year in ten. On average 87 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about April 21, and return around October 23. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes in 96% of winters, usually between January 1 and February 10.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 5Apr 12Apr 16Apr 19Apr 21Apr 25Apr 30May 3May 8
32°FMar 22Mar 29Apr 1Apr 4Apr 8Apr 11Apr 15Apr 19Apr 30
28°FMar 8Mar 15Mar 19Mar 24Mar 27Mar 30Apr 1Apr 4Apr 10
24°FFeb 21Feb 28Mar 5Mar 10Mar 14Mar 17Mar 19Mar 24Mar 29
20°FFeb 2Feb 11Feb 18Feb 24Mar 1Mar 4Mar 10Mar 14Mar 19
16°F96% of yrsJan 11Jan 24Jan 31Feb 4Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 11
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 11Oct 15Oct 19Oct 22Oct 23Oct 26Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3
32°FOct 19Oct 23Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 13
28°FOct 29Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 21Nov 27
24°FNov 7Nov 12Nov 16Nov 20Nov 24Nov 28Dec 1Dec 5Dec 14
20°FNov 18Nov 25Dec 1Dec 4Dec 9Dec 15Dec 20Dec 28Jan 3
16°F96% of yrsDec 5Dec 13Dec 21Dec 27Jan 1Jan 4Jan 10Jan 16Jan 30

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Danville 2 SE, VA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 27315 →Compare Providence with another place →

Weather by month in Providence

July is the warmest month at Danville 2 SE, VA, averaging 91°F by day and 68°F at night; January is the coldest at 50°F and 27°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 69% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,433 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 62% of the 173 North Carolina stations. 37% of them (1,648) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 905. Precipitation totals 47.1 inches a year, most in July (4.8") and least in February (3.1"); May to September bring 47% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Danville 2 SE, VA
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan50273.7100%2212
Feb54293.1100%1918
Mar62354.199%1188
Apr72443.969%2265
May80544.48%<1519
Jun87634.10%0745
Jul91684.80%0905
Aug89664.10%0854
Sep83594.60%0624
Oct72463.646%1300
Nov62353.399%1282
Dec53303.4100%2120

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Danville 2 SE, VA (392 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Danville Regional Airport, VA, 5 miles northeast of Providence and 179 feet higher, has a last frost 2 days later (April 10), a first frost 4 days earlier (October 28), a season 5 days shorter.

Frost dates for 24586 (Ringgold) →

When it snows in Providence, North Carolina

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Providence usually arrives around January 18, and the last of the season around February 20. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Danville Regional Airport, VA, 4.7 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 90% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 47 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 27315

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Providence, North Carolina
WhenWhat to do
January 28 – February 11Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 11 – February 25Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 11 – March 25Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 8 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 9Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 18Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 1 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 27315 is 4 miles from Danville 2 SE, VA, which stands at 392 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 3 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 24540 (Danville). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 27315 in zone 7b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Carolina →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 7b places in North Carolina