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USDA Hardiness Zone 5a

Frost Dates for 49878 — Rapid River, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Rapid Rvr 4SSE, MI (598 ft), 4 miles southwest.

Updated

In Rapid River, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 18 in half of years and has passed by June 2 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 4, as early as September 18 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 137 days (NOAA, Rapid Rvr 4SSE, MI).

Last spring frost
May 18

50% probability

First fall frost
October 4

50% probability

Growing season
137 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5a

-20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) coldest night

First snow
November 10

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 12

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

21 of 21 observed

Snow per year
42.6"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Rapid River

Half of springs at Rapid Rvr 4SSE, MI see their last 32°F night by May 18; only one in ten is past it by May 3, and one in ten still has one after June 2. Planting tender crops after May 25 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 29 20%, and after June 2 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 55% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 4 in half of years, as early as September 18 one year in ten, and holds off past October 18 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around October 17; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 21, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 137 days in a typical year, shorter than at 76% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 158 days one year in ten and falls short of 117 one year in ten. On average 189 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about May 31, and return around September 22. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 22 and April 6.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 17May 22May 26May 29May 31Jun 2Jun 4Jun 8Jun 12
32°FMay 3May 8May 12May 16May 18May 22May 25May 29Jun 2
28°FApr 23Apr 27Apr 30May 3May 5May 9May 12May 16May 21
24°FApr 12Apr 17Apr 20Apr 22Apr 25Apr 28Apr 30May 4May 9
20°FApr 3Apr 6Apr 10Apr 12Apr 14Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 27
16°FMar 25Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 6Apr 9Apr 11Apr 15Apr 20
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 5Sep 11Sep 15Sep 19Sep 22Sep 26Sep 30Oct 2Oct 5
32°FSep 18Sep 23Sep 28Oct 1Oct 4Oct 6Oct 10Oct 14Oct 18
28°FOct 1Oct 6Oct 10Oct 14Oct 17Oct 20Oct 25Oct 28Nov 2
24°FOct 17Oct 23Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 11Nov 17
20°FOct 31Nov 3Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 19Nov 23Nov 28
16°FNov 7Nov 13Nov 17Nov 19Nov 22Nov 25Nov 28Dec 1Dec 7

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Rapid Rvr 4SSE, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 49878 →Compare Rapid River with another place →

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Cornell 5SE, MI, 14 miles southwest of Rapid River and 196 feet higher, has a last frost 1 day later (May 19), a first frost 3 days earlier (October 1), a season 4 days shorter.

Frost dates for 49807 (Bark River) →

When it snows in Rapid River, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Rapid River usually arrives around November 10, and the last of the season around April 12. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Cornell 5SE, MI, 13.8 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 36 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 49878

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Rapid River, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
March 9 – March 23Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 23 – April 6Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 20 – May 4Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 18 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 12Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 20Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 4 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 49878 is 4 miles from Rapid Rvr 4SSE, MI, which stands at 598 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 49837 (Gladstone). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 49878 in zone 5a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 5a places in Michigan