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USDA Hardiness Zone 4a

Frost Dates for 54871 — Shell Lake, Wisconsin

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Spooner Ag Res Stn, WI (1,100 ft), 8 miles northeast.

Updated

In Shell Lake, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 14 in half of years and has passed by May 29 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 28, as early as September 14 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 135 days (NOAA, Spooner Ag Res Stn, WI).

Last spring frost
May 14

50% probability

First fall frost
September 28

50% probability

Growing season
135 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4a

-30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) coldest night

First snow
November 3

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 16

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

28 of 28 observed

Snow per year
55.7"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Shell Lake

Half of springs at Spooner Ag Res Stn, WI see their last 32°F night by May 14; only one in ten is past it by April 30, and one in ten still has one after May 29. Planting tender crops after May 21 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 25 20%, and after May 29 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 30% of the 182 Wisconsin stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 28 in half of years, as early as September 14 one year in ten, and holds off past October 11 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around October 7; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 19, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 135 days in a typical year, shorter than at 90% of the 182 Wisconsin stations; it reaches 156 days one year in ten and falls short of 113 one year in ten. On average 171 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about May 26, and return around September 19. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 9 and April 4.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 11May 16May 20May 24May 26May 29Jun 1Jun 4Jun 9
32°FApr 30May 4May 7May 10May 14May 17May 21May 25May 29
28°FApr 20Apr 25Apr 28Apr 30May 2May 5May 8May 13May 19
24°FApr 9Apr 14Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 26Apr 30May 2May 8
20°FMar 31Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 28
16°FMar 21Mar 27Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 14Apr 20
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 4Sep 9Sep 13Sep 16Sep 19Sep 21Sep 24Sep 27Oct 1
32°FSep 14Sep 19Sep 22Sep 25Sep 28Oct 1Oct 3Oct 7Oct 11
28°FSep 22Sep 28Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 14Oct 19Oct 23
24°FOct 3Oct 9Oct 13Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 27Oct 31Nov 4
20°FOct 17Oct 23Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 10Nov 15
16°FOct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 16Nov 19Nov 24

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Spooner Ag Res Stn, WI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 54871 →Compare Shell Lake with another place →

Weather by month in Shell Lake

July is the warmest month at Spooner Ag Res Stn, WI, averaging 80°F by day and 58°F at night; January is the coldest at 21°F and 1°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 87% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,182 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 77% of the 182 Wisconsin stations. 32% of them (703) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 590. Precipitation totals 31.7 inches a year, most in June (4.2") and least in January (0.8"); May to September bring 62% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Spooner Ag Res Stn, WI
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan2110.8100%310
Feb2640.8100%270
Mar40181.4100%275
Apr54312.8100%1641
May67444.187%3209
Jun76544.27%<1448
Jul80584.00%0590
Aug78563.90%0532
Sep70483.659%2286
Oct56363.2100%1166
Nov39231.7100%245
Dec2691.2100%300

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Spooner Ag Res Stn, WI (1,100 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Cumberland, WI, 15 miles south of Shell Lake, has a last frost 9 days earlier (May 5), a first frost 6 days later (October 4), a season 17 days longer.

Frost dates for 54829 (Cumberland) →

When it snows in Shell Lake, Wisconsin

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Shell Lake usually arrives around November 3, and the last of the season around April 16. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Spooner Ag Res Stn, WI, 7.5 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 28 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 54871

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Shell Lake, Wisconsin
WhenWhat to do
March 5 – March 19Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 19 – April 2Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 16 – April 30Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 14 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 6Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 14Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 28 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 54871 is 8 miles from Spooner Ag Res Stn, WI, which stands at 1,100 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 54801 (Spooner). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 54871 in zone 4a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Wisconsin →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 4a places in Wisconsin