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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 71671 — Warren, Arkansas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Warren 2 WSW, AR (210 ft), 1 miles west.

Updated

In Warren, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 20 in half of years and has passed by April 7 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 11, as early as October 28 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 235 days (NOAA, Warren 2 WSW, AR).

Last spring frost
March 20

50% probability

First fall frost
November 11

50% probability

Growing season
235 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
45%

9 of 20 observed

Snow per year
1.5"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Warren

Half of springs at Warren 2 WSW, AR see their last 32°F night by March 20; only one in ten is past it by March 2, and one in ten still has one after April 7. Planting tender crops after March 29 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 2 20%, and after April 7 10%. The 18 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 60% of the 105 Arkansas stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 11 in half of years, as early as October 28 one year in ten, and holds off past November 29 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around November 23; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 24, 14 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 235 days in a typical year, longer than at 75% of the 105 Arkansas stations; it reaches 261 days one year in ten and falls short of 211 one year in ten. On average 58 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about April 2, and return around October 31. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 99% of winters and 16°F in 60%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 15Mar 21Mar 26Mar 31Apr 2Apr 5Apr 9Apr 13Apr 19
32°FMar 2Mar 8Mar 12Mar 16Mar 20Mar 24Mar 29Apr 2Apr 7
28°FFeb 15Feb 23Feb 28Mar 3Mar 6Mar 10Mar 14Mar 18Mar 24
24°F99% of yrsJan 24Feb 1Feb 8Feb 14Feb 21Feb 26Mar 2Mar 6Mar 13
20°F91% of yrsJan 3Jan 15Jan 22Jan 29Feb 1Feb 7Feb 15Feb 24Mar 3
16°F60% of yrsDec 29Jan 4Jan 11Jan 18Jan 23Jan 29Feb 1Feb 9Feb 19
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 18Oct 23Oct 26Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 15
32°FOct 28Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 11Nov 14Nov 18Nov 23Nov 29
28°FNov 5Nov 10Nov 14Nov 18Nov 23Nov 27Dec 1Dec 5Dec 14
24°F99% of yrsNov 15Nov 23Nov 29Dec 3Dec 7Dec 13Dec 21Dec 28Jan 4
20°F91% of yrsDec 2Dec 10Dec 20Dec 25Dec 30Jan 2Jan 7Jan 14Jan 26
16°F60% of yrsDec 15Dec 26Dec 31Jan 3Jan 7Jan 12Jan 18Jan 25Feb 5

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Warren 2 WSW, AR, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 71671 →Compare Warren with another place →

Weather by month in Warren

July is the warmest month at Warren 2 WSW, AR, averaging 91°F by day and 71°F at night; January is the coldest at 52°F and 32°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to February (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, March still brings one in 89% of years and April still brings one in 24% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 5,406 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 72% of the 105 Arkansas stations. 39% of them (2,133) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 967. Precipitation totals 59.2 inches a year, most in April (6.7") and least in July (3.3"); May to September bring 36% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Warren 2 WSW, AR
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan52324.7100%1744
Feb57354.899%1363
Mar65436.289%6189
Apr73516.724%1372
May81605.50%0631
Jun88684.00%0834
Jul91713.30%0967
Aug91704.90%0939
Sep86633.60%0732
Oct76514.617%<1424
Nov63414.489%5150
Dec55356.5100%1662

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Warren 2 WSW, AR (210 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Monticello Municipal Airport, AR, 19 miles east of Warren, has a last frost 2 days earlier (March 18), a first frost 1 day later (November 12), a season 3 days longer.

Frost dates for 71655 (Monticello) →

When it snows in Warren, Arkansas

Measurable snow is rare here: only 9 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Warren 2 WSW, AR, 1.1 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 71671

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Warren, Arkansas
WhenWhat to do
January 9 – January 23Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 23 – February 6Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 20 – March 6Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 20 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 19Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 28Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 11 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 71671 is 1 mile from Warren 2 WSW, AR, which stands at 210 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 71671 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Arkansas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 8a places in Arkansas