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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 72024 — Carlisle, Arkansas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Keo, AR (231 ft), 18 miles southwest.

Updated

In Carlisle, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 21 in half of years and has passed by April 6 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 9, as early as October 27 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 235 days (NOAA, Keo, AR).

Last spring frost
March 21

50% probability

First fall frost
November 9

50% probability

Growing season
235 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
January 12

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
February 2

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
81%

21 of 26 observed

Snow per year
3"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Carlisle

Half of springs at Keo, AR see their last 32°F night by March 21; only one in ten is past it by March 2, and one in ten still has one after April 6. Planting tender crops after March 28 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 1 20%, and after April 6 10%. The 16 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 65% of the 105 Arkansas stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 9 in half of years, as early as October 27 one year in ten, and holds off past November 26 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around November 22; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 26, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 235 days in a typical year, longer than at 75% of the 105 Arkansas stations; it reaches 258 days one year in ten and falls short of 211 one year in ten. On average 49 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about April 2, and return around October 30. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 72%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 16Mar 23Mar 27Mar 31Apr 2Apr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 18
32°FMar 2Mar 9Mar 13Mar 18Mar 21Mar 24Mar 28Apr 1Apr 6
28°FFeb 18Feb 26Mar 1Mar 4Mar 8Mar 12Mar 16Mar 20Mar 26
24°FJan 31Feb 8Feb 15Feb 21Feb 26Mar 1Mar 4Mar 9Mar 16
20°F96% of yrsJan 9Jan 21Jan 28Feb 1Feb 7Feb 15Feb 21Feb 27Mar 6
16°F72% of yrsJan 1Jan 7Jan 15Jan 20Jan 26Jan 30Feb 4Feb 14Feb 25
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 18Oct 22Oct 25Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 12
32°FOct 27Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 16Nov 21Nov 26
28°FNov 4Nov 9Nov 14Nov 18Nov 22Nov 26Dec 1Dec 5Dec 12
24°FNov 15Nov 23Nov 28Dec 3Dec 8Dec 14Dec 20Dec 27Jan 4
20°F96% of yrsDec 2Dec 12Dec 20Dec 25Dec 30Jan 3Jan 8Jan 15Jan 28
16°F72% of yrsDec 15Dec 24Dec 30Jan 2Jan 7Jan 12Jan 16Jan 23Feb 5

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Keo, AR, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 72024 →Compare Carlisle with another place →

Weather by month in Carlisle

July is the warmest month at Keo, AR, averaging 90°F by day and 71°F at night; January is the coldest at 50°F and 31°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 21% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 5,083 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 50% of the 105 Arkansas stations. 40% of them (2,030) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 930. Precipitation totals 50.6 inches a year, most in April (5.5") and least in August (3.0"); May to September bring 35% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Keo, AR
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan50313.8100%1627
Feb54344.0100%1149
Mar63425.192%4160
Apr73515.521%<1357
May80604.80%0619
Jun87683.40%0819
Jul90713.50%0930
Aug89693.00%0894
Sep84623.10%0678
Oct74514.420%<1389
Nov61414.593%5123
Dec52345.5100%1339

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Keo, AR (231 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Des Arc, AR, 20 miles northeast of Carlisle, has a last frost 10 days earlier (March 11), a first frost 5 days later (November 14), a season 12 days longer.

Frost dates for 72064 (Hazen) →

When it snows in Carlisle, Arkansas

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Carlisle usually arrives around January 12, and the last of the season around February 2. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Keo, AR, 18.4 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 81% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 47 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 72024

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Carlisle, Arkansas
WhenWhat to do
January 10 – January 24Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 24 – February 7Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 21 – March 7Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 21 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 17Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 26Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 9 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 72024 is 18 miles from Keo, AR, which stands at 231 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 72024 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Arkansas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8a places in Arkansas