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USDA Hardiness Zone 6b

Frost Dates for 85929 — Lakeside, Arizona

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Pinetop 2E, AZ (7,200 ft), 5 miles southeast.

Updated

In Lakeside, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 22 in half of years and has passed by June 4 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 6, as early as September 24 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 138 days (NOAA, Pinetop 2E, AZ).

Last spring frost
May 22

50% probability

First fall frost
October 6

50% probability

Growing season
138 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6b

-5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) coldest night

First snow
November 17

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 18

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

30 of 30 observed

Snow per year
70.3"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Lakeside

Half of springs at Pinetop 2E, AZ see their last 32°F night by May 22; only one in ten is past it by May 6, and one in ten still has one after June 4. Planting tender crops after May 28 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after June 1 20%, and after June 4 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 99% of the 98 Arizona stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 6 in half of years, as early as September 24 one year in ten, and holds off past October 19 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around October 17; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 23, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 138 days in a typical year, shorter than at 93% of the 98 Arizona stations; it reaches 158 days one year in ten and falls short of 120 one year in ten. On average 163 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about June 3, and return around September 30. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 24 and March 12.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 21May 26May 30May 31Jun 3Jun 5Jun 7Jun 10Jun 15
32°FMay 6May 11May 15May 19May 22May 25May 28Jun 1Jun 4
28°FApr 21Apr 26Apr 30May 2May 5May 9May 13May 17May 23
24°FApr 2Apr 6Apr 11Apr 15Apr 19Apr 24Apr 28May 2May 9
20°FMar 8Mar 15Mar 21Mar 27Mar 31Apr 4Apr 8Apr 13Apr 21
16°FFeb 16Feb 25Mar 3Mar 8Mar 12Mar 17Mar 23Mar 29Apr 6
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 17Sep 22Sep 25Sep 28Sep 30Oct 1Oct 3Oct 5Oct 9
32°FSep 24Sep 30Oct 2Oct 4Oct 6Oct 9Oct 12Oct 15Oct 19
28°FOct 4Oct 7Oct 11Oct 14Oct 17Oct 19Oct 22Oct 26Oct 31
24°FOct 14Oct 19Oct 23Oct 27Oct 30Nov 2Nov 5Nov 10Nov 16
20°FOct 23Oct 30Nov 3Nov 7Nov 12Nov 16Nov 19Nov 23Nov 28
16°FNov 3Nov 11Nov 18Nov 21Nov 24Nov 27Dec 1Dec 4Dec 10

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Pinetop 2E, AZ, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 85929 →Compare Lakeside with another place →

Weather by month in Lakeside

July is the warmest month at Pinetop 2E, AZ, averaging 82°F by day and 52°F at night; December is the coldest at 45°F and 19°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to May (a 90% chance or more). From July to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, June still brings one in 20% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,095 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 98% of the 102 Arizona stations. 31% of them (655) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 535. Precipitation totals 24.1 inches a year, most in August (4.0") and least in June (0.6"); May to September bring 45% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Pinetop 2E, AZ
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan45202.3100%290
Feb48222.2100%261
Mar55272.0100%257
Apr62320.9100%1640
May71380.894%6183
Jun82460.620%0425
Jul82523.40%0535
Aug80524.00%0487
Sep76462.022%<1325
Oct66351.7100%1086
Nov55271.7100%248
Dec45192.5100%290

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Pinetop 2E, AZ (7,200 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Show Low Airport, AZ, 7 miles north of Lakeside and 789 feet lower, has a last frost 17 days earlier (May 5), a first frost 9 days later (October 15), a season 24 days longer.

Frost dates for 85901 (Show Low) →

When it snows in Lakeside, Arizona

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Lakeside usually arrives around November 17, and the last of the season around April 18. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Pinetop 2E, AZ, 5 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 34 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 85929

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Lakeside, Arizona
WhenWhat to do
March 13 – March 27Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 27 – April 10Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 24 – May 8Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 22 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 14Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 22Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 6 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 85929 is 5 miles from Pinetop 2E, AZ, which stands at 7,200 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 85941 (Whiteriver). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 85929 in zone 6b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Arizona →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6b places in Arizona