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USDA Hardiness Zone 7a

Frost Dates for 86032 — Joseph City, Arizona

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Winslow Municipal Airport, AZ (4,886 ft), 18 miles west.

Updated

In Joseph City, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 27 in half of years and has passed by May 14 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 18, as early as October 5 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 174 days (NOAA, Winslow Municipal Airport, AZ).

Last spring frost
April 27

50% probability

First fall frost
October 18

50% probability

Growing season
174 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7a

0 to 5°F (-17.8 to -15.0°C) coldest night

First snow
November 30

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 28

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
55%

11 of 20 observed

Snow per year
3.3"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Joseph City

Half of springs at Winslow Municipal Airport, AZ see their last 32°F night by April 27; only one in ten is past it by April 12, and one in ten still has one after May 14. Planting tender crops after May 3 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 7 20%, and after May 14 10%. The 17 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 80% of the 98 Arizona stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 18 in half of years, as early as October 5 one year in ten, and holds off past November 1 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around October 27; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 1, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 174 days in a typical year, shorter than at 79% of the 98 Arizona stations; it reaches 193 days one year in ten and falls short of 153 one year in ten. On average 134 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about May 8, and return around October 9. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 26 and February 18.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 25Apr 30May 3May 6May 8May 12May 16May 20May 26
32°FApr 12Apr 18Apr 21Apr 24Apr 27Apr 30May 3May 7May 14
28°FMar 27Apr 2Apr 6Apr 9Apr 13Apr 18Apr 21Apr 26May 1
24°FMar 7Mar 13Mar 17Mar 23Mar 28Apr 1Apr 5Apr 10Apr 19
20°FFeb 14Feb 23Feb 28Mar 4Mar 7Mar 10Mar 15Mar 21Mar 31
16°FJan 27Feb 2Feb 8Feb 13Feb 18Feb 23Feb 27Mar 3Mar 8
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 28Oct 1Oct 4Oct 6Oct 9Oct 12Oct 15Oct 17Oct 21
32°FOct 5Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 18Oct 21Oct 23Oct 27Nov 1
28°FOct 13Oct 17Oct 21Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 2Nov 6Nov 10
24°FOct 20Oct 25Oct 29Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 14Nov 18
20°FOct 30Nov 6Nov 9Nov 13Nov 16Nov 18Nov 22Nov 25Nov 30
16°FNov 9Nov 15Nov 20Nov 23Nov 26Nov 29Dec 1Dec 6Dec 13

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Winslow Municipal Airport, AZ, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 86032 →Compare Joseph City with another place →

Weather by month in Joseph City

July is the warmest month at Winslow Municipal Airport, AZ, averaging 95°F by day and 64°F at night; December is the coldest at 49°F and 22°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 37% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,001 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 73% of the 102 Arizona stations. 35% of them (1,386) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 904. Precipitation totals 6.6 inches a year, most in August (1.2") and least in June (0.1"); May to September bring 52% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Winslow Municipal Airport, AZ
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan50220.5100%281
Feb56260.4100%238
Mar65320.5100%1858
Apr72380.399%8179
May81460.337%1427
Jun92550.10%0713
Jul95640.90%0904
Aug92631.20%0840
Sep86540.92%0591
Oct74400.589%6244
Nov60290.5100%2233
Dec49220.5100%282

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Winslow Municipal Airport, AZ (4,886 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Holbrook, AZ, 20 miles southeast of Joseph City and 199 feet higher, has a last frost 5 days earlier (April 22), a first frost 6 days later (October 24), a season 10 days longer.

Frost dates for 86025 (Holbrook) →

When it snows in Joseph City, Arizona

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Joseph City usually arrives around November 30, and the last of the season around March 28. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Holbrook, AZ, 20.3 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 55% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 30 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 86032

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Joseph City, Arizona
WhenWhat to do
February 16 – March 2Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 2 – March 16Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 30 – April 13Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 27 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 26Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 4Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 18 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 86032 is 18 miles from Winslow Municipal Airport, AZ, which stands at 4,886 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 86047 (Winslow). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 86032 in zone 7a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 0 to 5°F (-17.8 to -15.0°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Arizona →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 7a places in Arizona