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USDA Hardiness Zone 7a

Frost Dates for 86046 — Williams, Arizona

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Williams, AZ (6,909 ft), 10 miles south.

Updated

In Williams, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 22 in half of years and has passed by June 10 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 5, as early as September 24 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 135 days (NOAA, Williams, AZ).

Last spring frost
May 22

50% probability

First fall frost
October 5

50% probability

Growing season
135 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7a

0 to 5°F (-17.8 to -15.0°C) coldest night

First snow
November 21

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 2

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

29 of 29 observed

Snow per year
65.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Williams

Half of springs at Williams, AZ see their last 32°F night by May 22; only one in ten is past it by May 6, and one in ten still has one after June 10. Planting tender crops after May 31 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after June 4 20%, and after June 10 10%. The 19 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 61% of the 98 Arizona stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 5 in half of years, as early as September 24 one year in ten, and holds off past October 18 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 10 days later, around October 15; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is June 1, 9 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 135 days in a typical year, shorter than at 95% of the 98 Arizona stations; it reaches 157 days one year in ten and falls short of 112 one year in ten. On average 150 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about June 2, and return around September 30. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 20 and March 17.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 19May 24May 28May 31Jun 2Jun 5Jun 7Jun 11Jun 17
32°FMay 6May 11May 15May 18May 22May 27May 31Jun 4Jun 10
28°FApr 24Apr 30May 2May 6May 9May 13May 17May 23Jun 1
24°FApr 7Apr 12Apr 17Apr 21Apr 25Apr 29May 2May 6May 12
20°FMar 15Mar 24Mar 30Apr 2Apr 6Apr 9Apr 14Apr 20Apr 26
16°FFeb 24Mar 3Mar 8Mar 13Mar 17Mar 23Mar 28Apr 3Apr 10
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 17Sep 21Sep 24Sep 27Sep 30Oct 1Oct 3Oct 6Oct 10
32°FSep 24Sep 29Oct 1Oct 3Oct 5Oct 8Oct 10Oct 14Oct 18
28°FOct 2Oct 5Oct 9Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 25Oct 31
24°FOct 10Oct 15Oct 19Oct 24Oct 27Oct 31Nov 3Nov 8Nov 14
20°FOct 21Oct 27Nov 1Nov 4Nov 8Nov 12Nov 16Nov 20Nov 25
16°FOct 31Nov 7Nov 13Nov 16Nov 20Nov 24Nov 28Dec 3Dec 8

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Williams, AZ, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 86046 →Compare Williams with another place →

Weather by month in Williams

July is the warmest month at Williams, AZ, averaging 84°F by day and 54°F at night; December is the coldest at 47°F and 21°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to May (a 90% chance or more). From July to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, June still brings one in 28% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,269 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 96% of the 102 Arizona stations. 31% of them (693) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 584. Precipitation totals 21.7 inches a year, most in August (3.4") and least in June (0.4"); May to September bring 42% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Williams, AZ
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan47212.2100%280
Feb49232.6100%240
Mar56272.0100%237
Apr62310.9100%1543
May71390.894%5196
Jun82480.428%<1447
Jul84543.00%0584
Aug82523.40%0524
Sep76471.626%1348
Oct67361.699%7108
Nov56281.3100%2012
Dec47211.9100%280

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Williams, AZ (6,909 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Williams 35 NNW, AZ, 27 miles north of Williams and 919 feet lower, has a last frost 13 days earlier (May 9), a first frost 14 days later (October 19), a season 26 days longer.

Frost dates for 86011 (Flagstaff) →

When it snows in Williams, Arizona

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Williams usually arrives around November 21, and the last of the season around April 2. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Williams, AZ, 9.8 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 50 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 86046

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Williams, Arizona
WhenWhat to do
March 13 – March 27Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 27 – April 10Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 24 – May 8Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 22 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 13Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 21Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 5 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 86046 is 10 miles from Williams, AZ, which stands at 6,909 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 86046 in zone 7a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 0 to 5°F (-17.8 to -15.0°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Arizona →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 7a places in Arizona