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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 72921 — Alma, Arkansas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Mountainburg 2 NE, AR (793 ft), 12 miles north.

Updated

In Alma, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 9 in half of years and has passed by April 28 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 28, as early as October 14 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 201 days (NOAA, Mountainburg 2 NE, AR).

Last spring frost
April 9

50% probability

First fall frost
October 28

50% probability

Growing season
201 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
December 24

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
January 29

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
75%

15 of 20 observed

Snow per year
3.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Alma

Half of springs at Mountainburg 2 NE, AR see their last 32°F night by April 9; only one in ten is past it by March 24, and one in ten still has one after April 28. Planting tender crops after April 16 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 21 20%, and after April 28 10%. The 19 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 80% of the 105 Arkansas stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 28 in half of years, as early as October 14 one year in ten, and holds off past November 12 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around November 6; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 14, 14 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 201 days in a typical year, shorter than at 90% of the 105 Arkansas stations; it reaches 225 days one year in ten and falls short of 177 one year in ten. On average 87 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 14 days longer, to about April 23, and return around October 18. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes in 99% of winters, usually between December 19 and February 16.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 7Apr 12Apr 15Apr 19Apr 23Apr 26Apr 30May 3May 8
32°FMar 24Mar 30Apr 3Apr 6Apr 9Apr 13Apr 16Apr 21Apr 28
28°FMar 8Mar 14Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28Mar 31Apr 3Apr 7Apr 14
24°FFeb 24Mar 1Mar 6Mar 11Mar 15Mar 19Mar 24Mar 29Apr 4
20°FFeb 5Feb 15Feb 22Feb 27Mar 2Mar 6Mar 11Mar 16Mar 23
16°F99% of yrsJan 19Jan 30Feb 3Feb 10Feb 16Feb 23Feb 28Mar 4Mar 10
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 5Oct 9Oct 13Oct 16Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 27Nov 2
32°FOct 14Oct 19Oct 22Oct 25Oct 28Oct 31Nov 2Nov 6Nov 12
28°FOct 23Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 10Nov 14Nov 19Nov 25
24°FNov 1Nov 5Nov 10Nov 13Nov 18Nov 21Nov 27Dec 1Dec 6
20°FNov 10Nov 17Nov 22Nov 27Dec 1Dec 5Dec 9Dec 15Dec 23
16°F99% of yrsNov 21Dec 1Dec 6Dec 12Dec 19Dec 25Dec 31Jan 6Jan 15

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Mountainburg 2 NE, AR, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 72921 →Compare Alma with another place →

Frost risk through the year in Alma

Frost curve for Alma, Arkansas (Mountainburg 2 NE, AR, NOAA 1991–2020): the chance of another 32°F night falls from 90% on March 24 to 50% on April 9 and 10% on April 28; the chance that the first fall one has come rises from 10% on October 14 to 50% on October 28 and 90% on November 12.

In Alma, the spring curve drops under 10% on April 28 and the fall curve passes 10% on October 14, 169 days later; that gap is shorter than at 91% of the 105 Arkansas stations with frost dates. The spring risk falls from 90% to 10% over 35 days (March 24 to April 28) and the fall risk climbs from 10% to 90% over 29 days (October 14 to November 12): both ends of the season vary about as much. At Fort Smith Regional Airport, AR, 14 miles southwest, the same gap runs from April 11 to October 23, 26 days longer.

Chance of a frost after each planting date in Alma
Planted onAnother 32°F night28°F night
Mar 2687%55%
Apr 273%33%
Apr 950% date50%17%
Apr 1630%under 10%
Apr 2317%under 10%
Apr 30under 10%under 10%

Weather by month in Alma

July is the warmest month at Mountainburg 2 NE, AR, averaging 92°F by day and 67°F at night; January is the coldest at 49°F and 26°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 74% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,592 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 76% of the 105 Arkansas stations. 37% of them (1,711) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 914. Precipitation totals 53.6 inches a year, most in May (6.3") and least in February (3.1"); May to September bring 45% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Mountainburg 2 NE, AR
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan49263.3100%2313
Feb54293.1100%1829
Mar63374.599%10109
Apr72465.374%2277
May79556.35%0523
Jun87644.50%0760
Jul92674.10%0914
Aug91664.10%0882
Sep84585.10%0639
Oct74474.962%2335
Nov61364.799%1191
Dec52293.7100%2121

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Mountainburg 2 NE, AR (793 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Fort Smith Regional Airport, AR, 14 miles southwest of Alma and 344 feet lower, has a last frost 15 days earlier (March 25), a first frost 9 days later (November 6), a season 23 days longer.

Frost dates for 72956 (Van Buren) →

When it snows in Alma, Arkansas

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Alma usually arrives around December 24, and the last of the season around January 29. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Mountainburg 2 NE, AR, 11.5 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 75% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 70 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 72921

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Alma, Arkansas
WhenWhat to do
January 29 – February 12Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 12 – February 26Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 12 – March 26Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 9 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 5Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 14Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 28 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 72921 is 12 miles from Mountainburg 2 NE, AR, which stands at 793 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 3 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 72921 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Arkansas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8a places in Arkansas