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USDA Hardiness Zone 8b

Frost Dates for 93451 — San Miguel, California

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Paso Robles Municipal Airport, CA (810 ft), 10 miles south.

Updated

In San Miguel, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 4 in half of years and has passed by April 27 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 5, as early as October 17 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 213 days (NOAA, Paso Robles Municipal Airport, CA).

Last spring frost
April 4

50% probability

First fall frost
November 5

50% probability

Growing season
213 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8b

15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 20 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in San Miguel

Half of springs at Paso Robles Municipal Airport, CA see their last 32°F night by April 4; only one in ten is past it by March 2, and one in ten still has one after April 27. Planting tender crops after April 14 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 21 20%, and after April 27 10%. The 23 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 78% of the 220 California stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 5 in half of years, as early as October 17 one year in ten, and holds off past November 24 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 16 days later, around November 21; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 31, 27 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 213 days in a typical year, shorter than at 77% of the 219 California stations; it reaches 251 days one year in ten and falls short of 183 one year in ten. On average 45 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 25 days longer, to about April 29, and return around October 21. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 86% of winters and 16°F in 11%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 10Apr 16Apr 21Apr 25Apr 29Apr 30May 4May 9May 17
32°FMar 2Mar 15Mar 25Mar 31Apr 4Apr 9Apr 14Apr 21Apr 27
28°F99% of yrsJan 13Jan 30Feb 7Feb 14Feb 22Feb 28Mar 8Mar 20Mar 31
24°F86% of yrsDec 11Dec 25Dec 31Jan 7Jan 19Jan 28Feb 2Feb 9Feb 22
20°F40% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F11% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 5Oct 10Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 25Oct 29Nov 1Nov 7
32°FOct 17Oct 23Oct 29Nov 1Nov 5Nov 9Nov 13Nov 18Nov 24
28°F99% of yrsNov 1Nov 7Nov 13Nov 17Nov 21Nov 25Nov 30Dec 4Dec 12
24°F86% of yrsNov 16Nov 24Nov 30Dec 2Dec 6Dec 10Dec 15Dec 26Jan 13
20°F40% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F11% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Paso Robles Municipal Airport, CA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 93451 →Compare San Miguel with another place →

Weather by month in San Miguel

August is the warmest month at Paso Robles Municipal Airport, CA, averaging 94°F by day and 53°F at night; December is the coldest at 60°F and 33°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to January (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 86% of years and March still brings one in 76% of years and April still brings one in 56% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,015 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 59% of the 283 California stations. 36% of them (1,437) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 732. Precipitation totals 12.2 inches a year, most in January (2.7") and least in June (0.0"); May to September bring 4% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Paso Robles Municipal Airport, CA
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan61352.795%1132
Feb63372.586%759
Mar68402.476%3135
Apr74410.656%2222
May81460.36%<1414
Jun89500.00%0575
Jul93540.10%0725
Aug94530.00%0732
Sep90500.10%0600
Oct81440.636%1376
Nov69370.994%7122
Dec60332.098%1523

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Paso Robles Municipal Airport, CA (810 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Paso Robles, CA, 13 miles south of San Miguel, has a last frost 20 days earlier (March 15), a first frost 5 days later (November 10), a season 25 days longer.

Frost dates for 93446 (Paso Robles) →

When it snows in San Miguel, California

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Paso Robles, CA, 13.4 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 93451

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for San Miguel, California
WhenWhat to do
January 24 – February 7Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 7 – February 21Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 7 – March 21Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 4 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 13Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 22Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 5 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 93451 is 10 miles from Paso Robles Municipal Airport, CA, which stands at 810 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 93451 in zone 8b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across California →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 8b places in California