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USDA Hardiness Zone 5a

Frost Dates for 69357 — Mitchell, Nebraska

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Mitchell 5E, NE (4,080 ft), 5 miles east.

Updated

In Mitchell, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 7 in half of years and has passed by May 21 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 2, as early as September 18 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 147 days (NOAA, Mitchell 5E, NE).

Last spring frost
May 7

50% probability

First fall frost
October 2

50% probability

Growing season
147 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5a

-20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) coldest night

First snow
November 1

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
May 2

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

18 of 18 observed

Snow per year
39.7"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Mitchell

Half of springs at Mitchell 5E, NE see their last 32°F night by May 7; only one in ten is past it by April 26, and one in ten still has one after May 21. Planting tender crops after May 13 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 17 20%, and after May 21 10%. The 14 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 72% of the 68 Nebraska stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 2 in half of years, as early as September 18 one year in ten, and holds off past October 15 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 8 days later, around October 10; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 11, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 147 days in a typical year, shorter than at 91% of the 68 Nebraska stations; it reaches 166 days one year in ten and falls short of 127 one year in ten. On average 170 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about May 18, and return around September 24. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 7 and March 24.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 5May 10May 13May 16May 18May 21May 24May 28May 31
32°FApr 26Apr 30May 3May 5May 7May 10May 13May 17May 21
28°FApr 14Apr 18Apr 22Apr 25Apr 28May 1May 3May 5May 11
24°FApr 1Apr 6Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 23Apr 27May 1
20°FMar 16Mar 23Mar 29Apr 1Apr 4Apr 7Apr 12Apr 17Apr 22
16°FMar 4Mar 10Mar 15Mar 19Mar 24Mar 29Apr 1Apr 6Apr 14
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 8Sep 14Sep 18Sep 21Sep 24Sep 26Sep 29Oct 1Oct 6
32°FSep 18Sep 23Sep 26Sep 30Oct 2Oct 5Oct 7Oct 10Oct 15
28°FSep 27Oct 1Oct 5Oct 8Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 20Oct 24
24°FOct 5Oct 10Oct 14Oct 18Oct 20Oct 23Oct 26Oct 30Nov 3
20°FOct 13Oct 19Oct 23Oct 26Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 8Nov 14
16°FOct 20Oct 28Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 11Nov 14Nov 19Nov 24

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Mitchell 5E, NE, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 69357 →Compare Mitchell with another place →

Weather by month in Mitchell

July is the warmest month at Mitchell 5E, NE, averaging 88°F by day and 59°F at night; December is the coldest at 40°F and 16°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 77% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,710 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 94% of the 68 Nebraska stations. 32% of them (870) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 728.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Mitchell 5E, NE
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan4116100%301
Feb4218100%272
Mar5225100%2518
Apr6133100%1571
May704377%3246
Jun82531%0532
Jul88590%0728
Aug85560%0639
Sep774643%1364
Oct6334100%1398
Nov5024100%2611
Dec4016100%301

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Mitchell 5E, NE (4,080 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Scottsbluff 1E, NE, 9 miles southeast of Mitchell and 171 feet lower, has a last frost 1 day later (May 8), a first frost 1 day later (October 3).

Frost dates for 69361 (Scottsbluff) →

When it snows in Mitchell, Nebraska

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Mitchell usually arrives around November 1, and the last of the season around May 2. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Scottsbluff 1E, NE, 9.3 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 5 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 69357

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Mitchell, Nebraska
WhenWhat to do
February 26 – March 12Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 12 – March 26Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 9 – April 23Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 7 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 10Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 18Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 2 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 69357 is 5 miles from Mitchell 5E, NE, which stands at 4,080 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 69357 in zone 5a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Nebraska →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 5a places in Nebraska