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USDA Hardiness Zone 5a

Frost Dates for 69301 — Alliance, Nebraska

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Alliance 1WNW, NE (3,994 ft), 3 miles southwest.

Updated

In Alliance, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 11 in half of years and has passed by May 28 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 3, as early as September 21 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 144 days (NOAA, Alliance 1WNW, NE).

Last spring frost
May 11

50% probability

First fall frost
October 3

50% probability

Growing season
144 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5a

-20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) coldest night

First snow
November 14

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 13

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
78%

14 of 18 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Alliance

Half of springs at Alliance 1WNW, NE see their last 32°F night by May 11; only one in ten is past it by April 28, and one in ten still has one after May 28. Planting tender crops after May 17 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 21 20%, and after May 28 10%. The 17 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 97% of the 68 Nebraska stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 3 in half of years, as early as September 21 one year in ten, and holds off past October 13 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around October 12; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 16, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 144 days in a typical year, shorter than at 94% of the 68 Nebraska stations; it reaches 162 days one year in ten and falls short of 123 one year in ten. On average 181 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 10 days longer, to about May 21, and return around September 24. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 3 and March 31.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 7May 12May 16May 18May 21May 25May 28Jun 1Jun 7
32°FApr 28May 2May 5May 8May 11May 14May 17May 21May 28
28°FApr 17Apr 21Apr 26Apr 29May 1May 3May 6May 10May 16
24°FApr 5Apr 10Apr 14Apr 17Apr 21Apr 24Apr 27Apr 30May 5
20°FMar 24Mar 31Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 14Apr 17Apr 22Apr 27
16°FMar 10Mar 16Mar 22Mar 27Mar 31Apr 3Apr 7Apr 12Apr 18
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 10Sep 15Sep 19Sep 22Sep 24Sep 27Sep 30Oct 2Oct 6
32°FSep 21Sep 25Sep 28Oct 1Oct 3Oct 5Oct 7Oct 10Oct 13
28°FSep 30Oct 4Oct 6Oct 9Oct 12Oct 14Oct 16Oct 18Oct 22
24°FOct 7Oct 12Oct 14Oct 17Oct 19Oct 21Oct 24Oct 26Oct 29
20°FOct 13Oct 17Oct 21Oct 23Oct 26Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3Nov 8
16°FOct 19Oct 25Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 13Nov 18

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Alliance 1WNW, NE, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 69301 →Compare Alliance with another place →

Weather by month in Alliance

July is the warmest month at Alliance 1WNW, NE, averaging 87°F by day and 59°F at night; January is the coldest at 38°F and 14°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 84% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,635 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 97% of the 68 Nebraska stations. 30% of them (778) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 716.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Alliance 1WNW, NE
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan3814100%300
Feb4015100%271
Mar5123100%2712
Apr5832100%1850
May684384%4212
Jun80537%<1503
Jul87590%0716
Aug86570%0665
Sep774738%2383
Oct6233100%1485
Nov4922100%287
Dec3914100%310

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Alliance 1WNW, NE (3,994 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Ellsworth 15 NNE, NE, 34 miles east of Alliance, has a last frost 1 day later (May 12), a first frost 2 days earlier (October 1), a season 3 days shorter.

Frost dates for 69343 (Gordon) →

When it snows in Alliance, Nebraska

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Alliance usually arrives around November 14, and the last of the season around April 13. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Alliance 1WNW, NE, 3.1 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 78% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 28 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 69301

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Alliance, Nebraska
WhenWhat to do
March 2 – March 16Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 16 – March 30Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 13 – April 27Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 11 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 11Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 19Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 3 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 69301 is 3 miles from Alliance 1WNW, NE, which stands at 3,994 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 69301 in zone 5a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Nebraska →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 5a places in Nebraska